Episode Seven – Bohr’s Philosophy


Rejection of Causality

“These disintegrations [within nuclei] , so far as we are able to judge from all evidence, take place without any external cause.  If we have a given number of radium atoms, we can merely say that there is a definite probability that a certain fraction of them will break down during  the next second.” [2]

Is any justification given for this acausal statement? No, of course not.  There can be no justification for this.

If something takes place, then there is a cause and evidence can be found for what that cause might be. There can be no evidence that something takes place without a cause.

Probability is not a cause nor does it explain anything.  Probability simply states that A will happen X out of Y times.  For instance, you can use probability to calculate that if you roll a normal six-sided die, then you will get a result of six about one in six times.

Probability is properly used when the outcome of some event is not known for certain in advance.  There are many reasons why this uncertainty might exist.

It might be because the system is very complicated and it would be impractical to account for every possible factor required to predict the outcome.

Or, it might be because we lack sufficient knowledge of the workings of the event to be certain what the result might be.  But, we know enough to approximate how often certain outcomes will occur.

Probability is, therefore, a mathematical method used to approximate the relative frequency of outcomes.  It is an abstraction and does not have any actual explanatory power.

Probability cloud

Quantum physics treats an electron as a “probability cloud”. As though its location is smeared throughout space.

But, due to the influence of the likes of Bohr, probability is now alleged to have just that, explanatory power.  Physicists treat probability as though it can explain how things like nuclear decay work or why electrons are *here* and not *there*.

Why did Bohr assert that probability is the cause of things? Because he had given up on physical causality, that is a connection between events in the physical world.

But, he wanted some kind of “explanation” for why things happen. If there is no physical cause for something, then it is often seen as convenient to pretend that it just happened by chance.

Which is essentially what he did when he abandoned physical causality and embraced probability.  There is no causal reason why things happen, they just happen according to chance, as described by probability functions!

But, this is as good as no explanation at all.


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